We are just past the halfway stage in the Premier League season, and we look set for one of the most exciting run-ins in the history of the league, with everything wide open at this stage. Year after year, the Premier League lives up to its tag as the best league in the world, and this season has certainly been no different, but what will be the outcome of all the important positions come the final day on the 13th May.
Starting from the bottom, and the relegation battle looks set for a climax that will go as close as possible to matching last year’s incredible “Survival Sunday” which condemned West Ham, Birmingham and Blackpool to the Championship.
Despite a recent resurgence, I really cannot see Steve Kean and Blackburn pulling themselves out of danger, and with influential captain Christopher Samba today submitting a transfer request their future looks bleaker still. With all the unrest at the club, survival would be an incredible achievement, but with the playing squad available and manager currently in place I am afraid to say relegation looms.
Wigan are another team for whom time must surely be running out. After scraping survival in each of the last 5 top flight seasons, I really do think this is the year Wigan will finally drop back down to the Championship. With what I believe to be the weakest squad in the league, even a manager I highly rate in Roberto Martinez will finally fold to the thankless task of trying to keep Wigan in the league this season in my opinion.
So that leaves one final place that a group of teams are vying to avoid. Currently in the dreaded bottom three with Wigan are QPR. QPR are currently a team in free fall. However, the recent appointment of Mark Hughes as manager will be looked back on as the crucial moment that determined the outcome of their season. Hughes is a manager I rate extremely highly and I believe he has what it takes to steer QPR clear of the relegation zone. Furthermore, QPR are sure to have money to spend in this January transfer window, and I feel Hughes is a manager who will spend wisely. For these reasons I think QPR will survive.
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Emmanuel Frimpong-Could hold the key to Wolves survival |
Just hovering above the relegation zone as they have all season are Wolves. In their third year back in the English top flight they are yet again in a relegation battle. The capture of Emmanual Frimpong on loan from Arsenal is one that I believe will change their season in a way similar to the impact Jamie O’Hara had after coming in from Tottenham at the very same stage last season. O’Hara coming back from injury very soon will also have a huge impact. With Roger Johnson coming back to his best after a shaky start, I feel Wolves will also be able to secure a 4th consecutive Premier League campaign, mainly fired to survival by striker Steven Fletcher.
Despite a strong start, I feel Norwich will be a team that will fall off dramatically to enter the relegation dogfight. Their defence certainly looks shaky to me and their attacking football will be hard to maintain successfully against top flight opposition. They have little strength in depth and as the season wears on they will be likely to struggle.
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Gary Cahill-Looks set for Chelsea |
Bolton Wanderers also look a team that are doomed at the moment, currently sat in 19th position. Quite how they have got into such a predicament I am unsure, as Owen Coyle has always seemed a capable manager and their squad appears to contain too much quality to go down. The return of tricky winger Chung-Yong Lee will boost Bolton, but the imminent departure of England defender Gary Cahill will put a huge dent in their team. For that reason I believe Bolton will be the final team to make up the bottom three and join Wigan and Blackburn in the Championship next season.
I feel the likes of Swansea and West Brom have just enough quality to stay clear of the endangered pack, whilst Martin O’Neill has the players at his disposal to easily steer Sunderland to a mid-table finish despite a below par start under Steve Bruce. The likes of Stoke, Everton, Aston Villa and Fulham are also set to fulfil their expected mid-table finishes, although if not careful the latter two of those teams could slip into a relegation battle.
Up to the business end of the league and the top 4 spots are set to be as fiercely contested as they have been in years. As I see it, there are 7 realistic contenders for the four coveted Champions League places.
The current top three of Tottenham, Man City and Man Utd are pretty much certain to fill the top three spaces, leaving one of Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal and Newcastle to take 4th spot.
After a shocking start, Arsenal have recovered well. However, their weekend loss to Swansea exposes their defensive frailties once again, and I just feel Arsenal will slip up on too many occasions to creep into the Champions League places.
Conversely, Newcastle endured a dream start to the campaign, going unbeaten for their first 10 games. After a slight stutter Newcastle have got back on track, shown by a convincing 3-0 victory over Manchester United last week. However, the loss of influential midfielder Check Tiote and in-form striker Demba Ba to the African Cup of Nations is likely to see Newcastle fall back and struggle to secure what would be a shock top 4 finish.
Liverpool are another team in the hunt for 4th. After a summer of big spending to avoid another disappointing season, Liverpool have been solid but unspectacular. You do feel, however, that the team simply lack the amount of goals required to finish as highly as fourth, whilst the 8 match ban currently being served by skilful forward Luis Suarez for racist remarks is a massive blow to their aspirations.
Despite a horrendous run of form in recent weeks, Chelsea have chosen to stick with under-fire manager Andre Vilas-Boas. As their rebuilding continues, I feel the Londoners will just have enough to make the top four yet again. However, the team simply do not have the required ability to put up any sort of title challenge, and for that reason their season looks destined to be one that will be looked back on as disappointing.
Now to the title race, and up until the last few weeks it looked certain Man City would be taking home their first ever Premier League trophy. However, a recent falter has allowed rivals Man Utd to regain ground, and even opened the door for Tottenham to make this very much a three horse race.
Tottenham have one of the most dynamic and pacy teams in the world at the moment. Their wide men of Lennon and Bale are crucial, whilst playmakers Modric and Van der Vaart make them a supreme attacking force. However, defensively they are weaker than their title rivals, and I feel this will eventually cost Spurs and they will finish just short.
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Man Utd-trying to defend their title |
Man Utd have arguably their weakest team of the Fergie era. With Nemanja Vidic out for the season their defence is not as strong as it previously has been, whilst their lack of an influential playmaker in central midfield is a huge issue that needs addressing in January. However, any team that has the likes of Rooney, Nani and Young in it will be there or there abouts, and the red side of Manchester will certainly not give up their title without a fight.
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Losing Yaya Toure will be a huge blow to City |
Man City, meanwhile, started off like a runaway train. With an abundance of attacking talent such as Aguero, Silva, Balotelli and Nasri, City have lit up the league with their free flowing football, whilst centre back Vincent Kompany has been sublime in maintaining a tight defence. Yaya Toure has been another key man in gelling the side together from the heart of midfield, yet losing him to the African Cup of Nations along with brother Kolo is an irreplaceable loss that will be hard to overcome. However, the strength of depth City possess will, in my opinion, pull them through and I believe come May the blue side of Manchester will be lifting the title having stolen the trophy from their city rivals.
So, at the halfway stage of this enthralling Barclays Premier League season, it really is all to play for. I have told you what I believe will be the final outcomes of the important positions once the 13th May arrives, but with every position so delicately poised, I am likely to be wrong. If there is one thing we have learnt in the many years watching the English top flight it is this: expect the unexpected!